Nov 8, 2012

Edelweiss Gold S. A. F. E. Strategy

Edelweiss Gold S. A. F. E. Strategy
– Performance Update as on 31st October, 2012.

Following are the returns in comparison to GOLD ETF --

SAFE Strategy
Gold ETF

SAFE Std Dev
Gold ETF Std Dev

SAFE Drawdown
Gold ETF Drawdown

*Returns are post trading costs but pre management fees
*2012 returns are actual returns; data is till 31st  October 2012
The above data is for illustrative purpose only. Past performance may or may not be sustained in future.

INVESTMENT RATIONALE: Asset allocation product that generates value in a gold ETF investment by shifting allocation away from gold whenever price correction happens and re-entering the ETF when prices have stabilized

·         Present Allocation – 0% in Gold, 100% in Liquid Fund
·         The last time an exit call had been taken was in the first week of October


Gold price were slightly volatile during the month of October. Based on our quant model signal, to take an exit from gold ETFs and invest into liquid in the first week of October protected the investors from making deep losses. Gold prices had started to stabilize from the third week of October and later remained flat till the month end. Our quant models caught the trend and asked to invest back into the Gold ETF on 12th October. The global gold prices looked flat because of decrease in gold demand and appreciating US currency against the domestic currency. The equity markets rally also contributed to the flattening of price as investors preferred equity investments to avail high returns.
Looking forward to the festive season in November, demand for gold is expected to increase. Escalation in the domestic price of gold is attributed to the depreciation in INR against US Dollar. The
same escalation is likely to continue till mid of November. A sudden flip leading to fall in gold prices is unlikely to happen and our quant models are well designed to capture the change.

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