Mar 15, 2012

Economy Update; Mid-quarter Monetary Policy review

Mid-quarter Monetary Policy review

  • A non-eventful mid-quarter monetary policy review given status-quo in terms of policy actions. Repo rate unchanged at 8.5%. Reverse repo / MSF stand at 7.5%/9.5% respectively
  • RBI acknowledges the weakening demand side as reflected in the recent IIP nos. While inflation has eased (Jan'12 stood at 7%), the underlying inflationary impulses are still prevalent
  • Despite, CRR cut (releasing Rs800bn) + OMO purchase (Rs1.2tn), LAF window is unlikely to ease given widening CAD.
  • While the prevailing growth-inflation dynamics has provided scope for easing, RBI / and we still believe that the condition is not ripe for a decisive rate cut in the near term

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